Panel Talk: Earthquake Forecasting

Hear international experts explain the latest earthquake forecasting science, and how it informs preparation for earthquakes around the world.

  • When Tue 21 Feb 2017, 6:00–7:30pm
  • Where
    Soundings Theatre, Level 2
  • Cost Free event. Please register.
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We can’t know the exact time, location, or size of the next large earthquake, but we can determine likelihoods in given time periods. 

Find out how earthquake forecasting is done, and how it informs planning and decision-making in different countries.

Panellists are in Wellington for STATSEI, the International Workshop on Statistical Seismology. This public talk is open to all.


  • Key speaker: Dr Warner Marzocchi, Chief Scientist, Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Italy
  • Professor Tom Jordan, Director, Southern California Earthquake Center
  • Professor Naoshi Hirata, Earthquake Research Institute, Earthquake Prediction Research Center, Japan
  • Dr Yongxian Zhang, Department of Earthquake Prediction, China Earthquake Networks Center
  • Dr Matt Gerstenberger, Leader of the New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model, GNS Science

Moderated by Dr Annemarie Christophersen, Hazard and Risk Scientist, GNS Science

Dr Warner Marzocchi


Dr Warner Marzocchi, 2016. Photograph by Paola Montone, courtesy of Dr Marzocchi

About Dr Warner Marzocchi

Dr Warner Marzocchi is chief scientist and co-chair of the Seismic Hazard Center at the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Rome. He has coordinated national, European, and international projects, focusing on earthquake and eruption forecasting and hazard assessment. His current research focuses on seismic and volcanic hazard assessment, earthquake and eruption forecasting, statistical seismology, and testing hazard models.


Please register ahead of time to ensure you get a seat.